Frankly, I don’t really understand the latest Nakamotoan Tulip, ‘decentralized finance’ AKA DeFi. As far as I can tell, it’s basically just unregulated, unregulatable, lending. Why is this a thing at all, let along a good thing? Why would anybody lend unknown people “money” (or at least digital tokens that aspire to be “money”), no matter what the interest rate?
I assume that the answer is usually something to do with tax evasion and money laundering.
As Shiv Malik puts it, “DeFi Mania Proves We Learned Nothing From the ICO Run-Up” [3]. One of the things he is referring to is a strange maneuver completed this week, which some call a DeFi “Vampire” attack [2]. I don’t completely understand this “attack”, but the result is that one DeFi group pumped and dumped a competitor, with the effect of sucking out hundreds of millions of its assets. Kewl!
The “coolness” is multiplied by the timing, because the founders who directed this assault cashed out immediately, passing the organization (and some would say, criminal liability) to some chumps volunteer community leaders [1].
The other unlearned lessons Malik refers to is the unreflective enthusiasm for what is basically a speculative bubble. These pools of assets are being used to lend money to “invest” in, wait for it, buying more assets. One form of this is called ‘yield farming’, which basically is just fiddling around with multiple pools of money, borrowing and lending to capture tiny differences in interest rates. I guess this can work, at least for a while. But it has no particular use except for moving around these digital tokens.
The point, of course, is that this junk activity is not only economically useless activity, it is 100% guaranteed to inflate a bubble that will pop very soon now.
What Hath Satoshi Wrought?
Aside from the innate exuberance of the Nakamotoan crowd, this bubble is happening because there are no grown ups involved. It isn’t clear what the legal framework is,or should be, or who should regulate these activities. But, as Donna Redel and Olta Andon put it, “Regulators Are Circling” [4].
In short, there is little question that DeFi has to be the prohibitive leader for the Crypto Tulip of the Year Award this year.
- Brady Dale (2020) SushiSwap Migration Ushers in Era of ‘Protocol Politicians. Coindesk, https://www.coindesk.com/sushiswap-migration-defi-protocol-politicians
- Bradley Keoun, Omkar Godbole, and Sebastian Sinclair (2020) First Mover: DeFi ‘Vampire’ SushiSwap Sucks $800M from Uniswap; BitMEX Basis Lags. Coindesk, https://www.coindesk.com/first-mover-defi-vampire-sushiswap-uniswap-bitmex-basis
- Shiv Malik (2020) DeFi Mania Proves We Learned Nothing From the ICO Run-Up. Coindesk, https://www.coindesk.com/defi-mania-ico-bubble
- Donna Redel and Olta Andoni (2020) DeFi Is Just Like the ICO Boom and Regulators Are Circling. Coindesk, https://www.coindesk.com/defi-ico-boom-regulators-circling
Cryptocurrency Thursday